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On Thursday, the Senate threatened to cut the projected 2026 budget of N58.472 trillion. appropriation bill over what it called “poor oil performance benchmarks, unrealistic revenue projections, and persistent failures in capital budget implementation.”
The warning was given during a heated exchange between the Senate Committee on Appropriations and the federal government’s economic staff, during which legislators publicly questioned the veracity of several crucial underlying assumptions in the record budget request.
The National Assembly previously suggested a N1.5 trillion take-off grant for the Federal Ministry of Art, Culture, Tourism, and the Creative Economy (FMACTCE) in a related budget defense development. This would help to reposition the sector as a major force behind economic diversification and lessen Nigeria’s reliance on oil revenue.
During the ministry’s 2025 budget defense before the Joint Committee on Culture, Art, and Creative Economy, the proposal was presented. Lawmakers voiced great faith in the sector’s ability to provide enormous amounts of income, jobs, and foreign exchange if it is properly financed and organized during the session.
According to Hannatu Musa Musawa, Minister of Art, Culture, Tourism, and the Creative Economy, the industry could provide more than 2.5 million jobs and contribute $100 billion to Nigeria’s GDP by 2030.
The chairman of the Senate Appropriations Committee, Senator Solomon Adeola (Ogun West), questioned the validity of several of the main tenets of the federal government’s 2026 budget proposal, stating that the budget paper came from the executive branch and needed to include practical and achievable estimates.
Adeola cited instances of 18% performance in one fiscal year and 36.5% in another, percentages well below expectations, to express concern about what he called a persistent discrepancy between planned and realized oil revenues.
“How can this degree of poor performance be explained?” “What?” Adeola inquired.
He went on, “Should we cut this N58.472 trillion budget or should we go ahead and make changes? You are promising Nigerians that you will achieve these goals if we do not reduce it.
With Nigeria’s debt load at almost N152 trillion and debt payment expenses eating up a large amount of revenue, he cautioned that the legislature would not approve estimates that would exacerbate fiscal problems.
Strategic asset sales could assist lower the debt portfolio and future borrowing costs, according to Adeola. The National Assembly, he emphasized, needed clarification on whether the revenue statistics were for the federal government alone or for the federation as a whole.
The first person under investigation was Mr. Wale Edun, the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, who justified the benchmark oil production of 1.84 million barrels per day as a “stretch target” intended to boost output.
It is a stretch goal, Edun stated, so that authorities don’t accept less.
He went on to say, “But we are within safe limits as long as we do not spend what we do not have.”
While revealing that emergency funds have been made available for vital military acquisitions, including those abroad, he insisted that security spending had been given priority under the 2026 plan.
“We all agree that security should be prioritized,” said Edun. Funding has been provided for emergencies. At least twice this year, including as recently as yesterday, significant foreign payments for security equipment have been made.
Edun added that Nigeria’s debt problem was more related to the high cost of debt for emerging nations on global markets than it was to the debt-to-GDP ratio.
Nigeria is now chairing a G24 technical group conference, where high interest rates and debt sustainability are still major worries, he said.
He claimed that the economy was recovering, growing by roughly 4%, with better foreign reserves, more stable exchange rates, and less inflationary pressures.
The minister went on to say that improved progress was shown by restored investor confidence, including an estimated $20 billion investment from Shell.
Dr. Zacch Adedeji, the chairman of the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS), seemed to partially agree with lawmakers when he warned that erroneous revenue projections may eventually impair budget performance.
Budget efficiency, according to Adedeji, is determined by what you can do rather than by the quantity of the budget. If we plan with 100 naira in mind and think we have 10 naira, we would cause ourselves troubles. Realistic assumptions must be the foundation.
Adedeji clarified that under the Petroleum Industry Act framework, taxes and royalties now account for a larger portion of government oil revenue than gross crude sales, claiming that high production costs have a major impact on the federation’s net revenue.
Under the current arrangements, he revealed, estimates showed that almost 47% of the overall output of oil companies was converted into government revenue. He urged lawmakers to examine cost structures and implement fiscal restraint.
The Senate also brought up issues with inadequate capital releases in earlier budgets, specifically the appropriations for 2024 and 2025, which legislators claimed showed little execution.
Dr. Doris Nkiruka Uzoka-Anite, Minister of State for Finance, responded by promising the committee that the remaining capital elements of the 2024 and 2025 budgets will be completed by March 31, 2026.
In order to facilitate disbursement for 2025 projects, Ministries, Departments, and Agencies (MDAs) have been instructed to submit their cash plans, according to Uzoka-Anite, who also revealed that payments for 2024 capital projects were starting right away.
The mechanism for managing finances is now operational again. We are prepared to begin, but MDAs need to finish the necessary paperwork,” she stated.
Senator Atiku Bagudu, Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, and Shamsedeen Babatunde Ogunjimi, Accountant-General of the Federation, attended the nearly two-hour-long closed-door session that followed the engagement.
By the end of discussions, the Senate indicated that the National Assembly could be forced to reduce the N58.472 trillion proposal in the interest of fiscal realism and sustainable economic management unless the government changed its assumptions and offered more solid income guarantees.
Senator Mohammed Onawo, the chairman of the National Assembly Joint Committee on Culture, Art, and Creative Economy, stated that the legislature was ready to interact with Tinubu via the National Assembly’s leadership regarding the necessity of providing a sizeable seed capital that would allow the ministry to function autonomously and become self-sufficient.
The ministry was challenged by Onawo to ascertain the amount of money needed to operate independently of ongoing reliance on federal financing.
To become independent, he said, “How much take-off grant would you need if the federal government decided to remove you from the national budget?
Starting with nothing is not an option. We will talk about whatever we decide here with Mr. President and the Senate leadership.
A N1.5 trillion take-off funding package was presented by the committee after discussions, claiming that the tourist and creative industries had vast unrealized potential that may revolutionize the nation’s economic structure.
With sufficient funding, clear policies, and institutional changes, lawmakers argued, the ministry might become one of the government’s biggest revenue-generating organizations.
