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When using aerial bombardments against forest-based bandit groups, the biggest risk, according to security analyst Amb. Abdullahi Bakoji Adamu, is still intelligence failure.
He cautioned that incorrect target identification could lead to civilian casualties and harm to the state’s prestige.
In response to assertions made by Islamic cleric Sheikh Ahmad Abubakar Gumi, Bakoji made this statement in an exclusive interview.
Remember that Gumi issued a warning on Tuesday on the use of aerial bombardment in the fight to drive out outlaws from the nation’s forests.
In addition to issuing the warning, the priest supported the creation of the Nigerian Forest Security Service (NFSS) to combat banditry.
While combating banditry necessitates decisive and coordinated action, Gumi contended during his Ramadan Tafsir in Kaduna that using bombs during forest operations posed serious risks to innocent civilians living in or near affected areas.
In response, Bakoji said he understood the worries but insisted that, when used appropriately, aerial power is still a valid security instrument.
“From a security perspective, it is legitimate to use calibrated air power to target forest-based bandit groups operating in hardened camps, as long as there is reliable and actionable intelligence,” he stated.
He asserts that aerial bombardment can be useful in destroying high-value targets, deteriorating supplies, and upsetting command systems, especially in areas that are difficult for ground forces to move through.
He emphasized, nonetheless, that inaccurate intelligence is the main danger associated with such operations.
Intelligence failure is the largest danger associated with aircraft strikes. Bakoji cautioned, “Misidentification of targets can result in civilian casualties, property destruction, displacement, and harm to the state’s reputation.”
He pointed out that in intricate woodland settings, criminal elements can occasionally be embedded close to civilian populations, necessitating stringent target verification procedures prior to authorizing any operation.
Bakoji further underlined that air force is insufficient to permanently destroy criminal networks or secure territory.
“Bombing is not a strategy, but a tool. “Air power by itself does not permanently dismantle networks or secure territory,” he stated.
He suggested integrating precision ground missions and stabilizing techniques with aircraft operations.
“Integration with intelligence-led raids, stabilization efforts to prevent regrouping, and precision ground operations are necessary for effective counter-banditry operations,” he said.
In order to encourage a coordinated and multi-layered approach, he also emphasized worldwide best practices in counterterrorism and counterinsurgency operations.
“HUMINT, SIGINT, and ISR capabilities, precision air support, special forces engagement, financial disruption of criminal networks, and long-term territorial control are all ways that global best practice supports intelligence dominance,” he clarified.
“The question is not if air power should be used, but how to use it with accuracy, reliable intelligence, and appropriate follow-through operations,” he stated.
Reports of unintentional airstrikes in states like Kaduna and other conflict-affected areas have surfaced in recent years, with civilians reportedly killed when targets were purportedly misidentified.
The Nigerian Air Force accidentally struck Tudun Biri hamlet in Igabi LGA of Kaduna during a religious gathering in December 2023.
After claiming to have targeted suspected bandits, the military apparently killed dozens of people.
In December 2024, a military airstrike in the Silame Local Government Area of Sokoto on Christmas Day is said to have killed at least ten civilians.
According to the United States Africa Command (AFRICOM) on X, the United States conducted multiple airstrikes on suspected ISIS fighters in Sokoto, northwest Nigeria, on December 25, 2025. The operation was carried out in coordination with the Nigerian government and showed Washington’s commitment to countering terrorist threats worldwide.
However, after the lawmaker visited the impacted region, Ladan Salihu, the former Director-General of the Federal Radio Corporation of Nigeria, or FRCN, gave a different version, claiming to have spoken with Bashar Isah Jabo, a member of the Sokoto State House of Assembly. Jabo said there were no reported casualties when the rockets landed on an open field roughly 300 meters from a nearby hospital.
