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Former Kano governorship candidate of the Peoples Redemption Party (PRP) in the 2023 elections, Salisu Tanko Yakasai, has warned that the widening division in the opposition in Nigeria could mirror the circumstances that ushered President Bola Ahmed Tinubu into power in 2023.
Reacting to the formation of two opposition blocs by Peter Obi and Musa Kwankwaso with the Nigerian Democratic Congress (NDC), Yakasai said the two opposition blocs, African Democratic Congress (ADC) and NDC , may split votes and eventually favour the ruling party in the 2027 general election.
In a post on X, Yakasai called the development a “blessing in disguise,” saying that many Nigerians had hoped for a united opposition front, but that a single coalition might have encountered legal and political hurdles that could have kept it off the ballot.
He argued that having two opposition platforms might make it difficult to exclude them, forcing the government to either allow both parties to participate or face a backlash over Nigeria’s democratic credentials.
The more likely scenario, he said, is both the ADC and NDC contesting the election, leading to a divided opposition at the presidential level , which he believes would favour Tinubu.
“In that case the more likely scenario I see playing out is that Tinubu allows both parties (ADC and NDC) to contest, leading to a fractured opposition going into 2027. If this happens, we may see a repeat of the 2023 pattern at the presidential level (because this will definitely favour Tinubu), while ADC and NDC make significant gains in National Assembly races, particularly across the North and East,” he wrote.
Yakasai reaffirmed his loyalty to the ADC despite the split and called on both camps to ease tensions and remain open to future cooperation.
“Politics has a way of bringing unlikely partners back to the table,” he said, adding that it might still be necessary to work together ahead of the 2027 elections.
