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Solar power generation has increased significantly in the last few years to about 20 per cent of Nigeria’s electricity supply and could reach 50 per cent by 2029 if current deployment and private-sector partnerships continue, the Rural Electrification Agency (REA) said.
This was disclosed by REA managing director, Abba Abubakar Aliyu, on Thursday, during the just concluded 25th Nigerian Oil and Gas (NOG) Energy Week in Abuja.
Speaking during an energy panel, titled, “Re-Engineering Africa’s Power Market – Driving Reliable Energy Systems
Aliyu said Solar’s share of national generation has risen rapidly and that the continued momentum would see it approaching half of the country’s power mix in the next two to three years.
The growth was driven by increasing deployment and greater collaboration with private investors, Aliyu said.
“Solar is 20 per cent of the nation’s total generation capacity and with the rate of deployment we are seeing we are getting to 50 per cent,” he said.
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The REA chief told delegates that Nigeria was transitioning from a major consumer of clean-energy equipment to a regional provider of renewable technology.
He said manufacturers in the Lagos-Sagamu industrial corridor were building capacity to meet demand across West Africa.
Aliyu said solar photovoltaic (PV) panels manufactured in Lagos were already being exported to neighbouring countries.
He added that a pipeline of about 3.7 gigawatts of PV manufacturing capacity was being developed to support further expansion.
“You will see manufacturing companies coming up if you go to the Lagos – Sagamu axis,” he said.
While acknowledging the fast growth in solar deployment and local manufacturing, REA and industry representatives warned that conventional gas-fired thermal plants will still be needed to stabilise Nigeria’s grid.
Another panellist, Vincent Ozoude, managing director and CEO of Transafam Power Limited, said the intermittency of renewables and the need to stabilise supply for a growing population required gas.
He warned that a lack of sufficient gas-fired capacity could turn the gains made through investments in renewables into losses. He said: “The swings in renewables make gas-fired thermal plants the quick fix to stabilising the baseline of the grid. If you don’t have the gas-fired plants there today, no matter how much renewable investment we’re doing, we’re going backwards.”
Panelists advocated for a dual-track investment strategy that would continue to expand solar generation and domestic manufacturing, while also maintaining and upgrading gas-fired plants.
They called on the federal government and private investors to coordinate policies and financing to back both tracks.
Speakers also recommended investment in grid infrastructure to get the new generation to consumers. They called for the rollout of digitalised smart-grid systems for real-time power dispatch, and the building of more high-voltage transmission lines to ensure newly generated electricity does not get stranded.
To turn the extra generation into a reliable supply for millions of homes across Nigeria, the panelists said, more solar capacity, continued gas support and better transmission and digital controls will be needed.
